Authors

L.S. ZVYAGIN

Abstract

Bayesian methods were the result of multiple attempts by a number of scientists to establish the problems of statistical analysis of the behavior of various processes and find their solution based on the use of the Bayesian methodology base? Bayes theorems. The application of this theorem has a number of prerequisites, the main of which is the presence of certain probability ratios of phenomena that are of a different nature and specifications of the desired level of any phenomenon. One of the main advantages of computer modeling using Bayesian methods is the ability to obtain a sufficient amount of statistical data in order to judge with high probability the success or failure of the designed system, while minimizing costs.

Keywords

Bayesian approach, economics, system, development, analytical methods, models.