UDC 330.4.1
DOI: 10.36871/2618-9976.2024.02.003
Authors
Gennady A. Shcherbakov,
Doctor of Economics, Financial University under the Government of Russia
Abstract
The development of new methods for building smallsize
systems
for forecasting changes in the economic environment is a
promising task. At the same time, it is necessary to use the existing
experience and develop the methods of economic foresight,
which in their time proved predictive power.
This article considers one of the aspects of the method of leading
factors, namely, the use of the price of the material used in the
production of most final products as an indicator of future
changes in demand. The article contains a review of the main
approaches proposed in this direction, as well as an analysis of
their applicability to the modern period.
Keywords
Economic conjuncture, Leading factors method, Economic forecasting, Economic and mathematical modeling
