Project management in the conditions of big challenges, uncertainty and risk

UDC 338: 658: 69.003
DOI: 10.36871/u.i.k.2025.01.01.010

Authors

Sergey G. Oparin,
Sergey I. Mironov,
Saint Petersburg state University of railway transport of Emperor Alexander I, Informatic and Information Security Department Saint Petersburg, Russia
Natalia N. Lavrova,
Emperor Alexander I St. Petersburg State Transport University, St. Petersburg, Russia; Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Moscow, Russia

Abstract

The article is devoted to the development of tools for integrating risk management into project management and their integrated application in conditions of great challenges and uncertainty of project implementation conditions in order to make an informed choice of a risk management strategy based on a result-oriented approach. Big challenges are a set of problems, threats and opportunities, the complexity and scale of which do not allow them to be solved, eliminated or implemented solely by increasing the amount of resources used. Special attention is paid to improving the project risk management process integrated into project management, criterion-based risk analysis using criteria of acceptability, acceptability and significance of risk, an integrated risk assessment model using the digital method of building a risk profile, as well as choosing a risk change strategy and its digital visualization on the scale of the target parameter or project outcome. Based on the results of the study, a draft of the National Standard GOST R Risk Management was developed. Project risk management, the code of the topic in the Tax Code 1.0.010-1.027.24.

Keywords

big challenge, project management, project risk, project risk criteria, allowable risk level, tolerance, risk profile, project resilience, digital graphic of the project risk management.